Biblical Criticism & History Forum - earlywritings.com

Another way of putting Bayes' Theorem used with Lord Raglan's score or something similar is: For hypothesis X and score S: P(X if S) = P(S if X) * P(X) / P(S) P(S if X) = N(S)/N(total) -- it doesn't matter how many real ones or mythical ones you work from. It will still work even if you had worked f...

Thanx, Kapyong. I guess I'll have to read the book to see how he does his calculations. But here might be a simple way to apply Bayes's theorem to the historicity question, and this is what Richard Carrier might ahve done. It's somewhat easier to picture that theorem in ratio form: P(H1 if D)/P(H2 i...

I thought I stated it, that it was the Aaronids' way of putting down the Sons of Korah as unjustifiably rebellious.

Here's something I've been wondering about. Where does Richard Carrier get his 33% probability of historicity from? What algorithm does he use and what data does he work from?

I'm sorry if this seems annoying :(, but I could not help but post on Lord Raglan's famous hero profile. I think that it is relevant to the historicity of Jesus Christ, because he scores much more like legendary people than like well-documented real people. Lord Raglan had a predecessor, Freudian ps...

I've found Minoan language blog about someone's attempts to decipher Linear A. It's very much a work in progress, but it looks interesting.

The Linear A language continues to be obscure, though it is almost certainly not Greek and probably not Indo-European.

This is something I recall from a Robert M. Price essay at secularhumanism.org one that's now been paywalled, it seems. So I'm doing this mostly from memory. The ancient Israelites had more than one priestly guild, notably the Aaronids and the Sons of Korah. The Aaronids presided over animal sacrifi...